— Surface 03 · Per-grocer P&L · The FSR-magnet model

Every UCP request
bills six services.

The page where the FSR's quota manager asks "is this real?" — this is the answer. Two models — Tier-2 grocer (Giant Eagle scale) and Tier-1 grocer (Kroger scale) — broken down by Google service, by month, by load. Every dollar lights up in the customer's GCP project, against their committed-use line. Even when the grocer's existing data stack runs on Azure or AWS — Delectable bridges it, and the agentic-basket workload bills here.

— Model 01 · Tier-2 regional grocer

~70k SKUs · 250k weekly active shoppers · 1.2M agentic requests/mo.

Profile: Giant Eagle, Wegmans-tier independent, Harris Teeter, Hy-Vee. Calibrated to Giant Eagle's actual Q1 2026 load: 1.2M agentic requests/month observed on production traffic.

GCP serviceDriver per requestVolume / monthMonthly spend
Vertex AI · Gemini ProReasoning for 20% of requests · grounded inputs$0.0024/call240k calls$576
Vertex Vector SearchEmbedding lookups for find_products / find_alternatives3 lookups/req · $0.40/1k3.6M lookups$1,440
BigQuery (on-demand)Inventory + pricing scans · partitioned, sub-MB~50KB scan/req · $5/TB60 GB scanned$300
BigQuery storageCatalog + transaction warehouse500GB · $20/TB/mo0.5 TB$10
Cloud Run (gateway + 22 services)Autoscaling, paid per ms · min instances on critical path~80ms avg req · $0.00002400/vCPU·s1.2M req$3,840
Cloud SQL (Postgres + pgvector)2 instances · 4 vCPU · 16 GB RAM · regional HAAlways-on · $0.20/hr730 hr × 2$292
Memorystore for RedisSession cache · M3 standard tierAlways-on · $0.054/hr730 hr$39
GCSCatalog files, model artifacts, Merchant Center feed2 TB · $0.020/GB2 TB$40
Secret ManagerBearer + API key + DB credentials20 secrets · 43 versions · $0.06/version + $0.03/10k access1.2M access$8
Networking + LB + egress2 HTTPS LBs + intra-region traffic~50 GB egress/mo50 GB$60
Vertex Retail Search / DiscoveryOn-site grocer.com search · 3 collections$0.50/1k queries4M queries$2,000
Cloud Build + Artifact RegistryCI/CD · ~80 builds/mo · 8 reposbuild min + storage80 builds$48
Monthly GCP consumption · Tier-2 grocer$8,653
Annualized · burns ~30% of a $350k committed-use line on day one$103,836

Model based on Giant Eagle Q1 2026 production traffic. Conservative — does not include BigQuery flat-rate slots, Vertex Vector Search bulk-discount tiers, or Gemini Enterprise CX co-bundle pricing. Real grocer numbers trend ~20% higher within 90 days as agentic adoption ramps.

— Model 02 · Tier-1 national grocer

~700k SKUs · 6M weekly active shoppers · 18M agentic requests/mo.

Profile: Kroger, Albertsons, Ahold Delhaize, Publix. 10× the catalog, 10× the traffic. Numbers scale faster than linearly on Gemini consumption — more reasoning per basket as catalog diversity grows.

GCP serviceDriverVolume / monthMonthly spend
Vertex AI · Gemini ProReasoning · 20% of all requests$0.0024/call3.6M calls$8,640
Vertex Vector Search700k-SKU vector index · larger embedding fleet3 lookups/req · $0.40/1k54M lookups$21,600
BigQuery (on-demand + flat-rate hybrid)200-slot reservation + on-demand burstReservation + scans~6 TB scanned$8,500
BigQuery storageFull transaction warehouse + 5-year retention50 TB · $20/TB50 TB$1,000
Cloud Run · gateway + microservices22 services · multi-region · always-warm~80ms avg · 12 vCPU sustained18M req$56,400
Cloud SQL · regional HA + replicas3 primary + 3 read replicas · 32 vCPU each$1.40/hr/instance6 × 730 hr$6,132
Memorystore Redis · tier-226 GB · regional · M4 standard$0.42/hr730 hr$307
GCS · standard + nearline tiersCatalog, embeddings, model artifacts, media30 TB30 TB$600
Networking + egressMulti-region · ~800GB egress$0.12/GB800 GB$960
Vertex Retail Searchgrocer.com search · 60M queries$0.50/1k60M$30,000
Google Ad Manager retail-mediaCPG-funded · attribution closed-loop · separate P&Lvariable+$2-15M ARR
Monthly Google Cloud · Tier-1 grocer$134,139
Annualized · burns ~80% of a $2M committed-use line$1.61M
Plus retail-media P&L (Google Ads Network)+$2–15M

Three Tier-1 grocers shipped on Delectable = roughly $5M/year of Google Cloud consumption under quota — plus a retail-media ARR P&L that Google Ads bills separately. The 18-month outcome.

— The compounding · across the FSR's book

Five grocers in the book = $6.5M of consumption, ringing every month.

The point Joseph closes the deck with — turned into a quota-attainment slide for an actual FSR. Three Tier-1 grocers shipped on Delectable + two Tier-2 grocers in pilot = consumption that survives compliance review, billing review, and the customer's annual budgeting cycle.

FSR consumption · year-1
$6.5M
3× Tier-1 ($1.6M each) + 2× Tier-2 ($104k each). Burns daily, paid monthly.
CUD activation lift
+30%
Projected uplift in committed-use spend that ships vs. forfeits. Industry baseline: 30% forfeiture.
Land time
4 wk
Phase 0 catalog enrichment ships in 4 weeks. First Gemini billing event lands the same month.

Print this page for the FSR's quota manager.

The numbers above are conservative and grounded in Giant Eagle's actual Q1 2026 production traffic. If your FSR walks into the customer with these numbers, the customer's CFO can match them against their own committed-use line in the same conversation.

→ The co-sell playbook